Author: Ron Thornton

  • The Final Word – Kansas, where good just was not good enough

    The Final Word – Kansas, where good just was not good enough

    Early in the year, a guy can get by with good. Good puts you in position for great things, with 20, or 30, or 40 races to go in the season. What Jimmie Johnson had last Sunday was a great car, a great performance, and the man who would be a six-time champion won his 55th career victory to move to within four points of the top of the hill with just six races to go.

    [media-credit id=2 align=”alignright” width=”229″][/media-credit]Carl Edwards and Kevin Harvick had good cars, hung around in the top 20, but stepped it up to great to both finish in the top ten to keep Johnson from moving on past them. Edwards was fifth, one better than Harvick, to take the Chase lead by a single point. So that now leaves us with three drivers who have been great, a handful of others who have been good, while four more can pretty much dream of what is to come…in 2012.

    Denny Hamlin was good enough to be 16th as Kansas. Not bad if it were February at Daytona, but when things have been bad thus far in the Chase it just means more dirt has been tossed over his championship hopes for this season. His is now 79 down and he is not coming back.

    Ryan Newman needed to be great, and at 18th he wasn’t even good on a day where he actually had been worse for the most part. He is now done. Jeff Gordon started blowing up with thirty to go before it gave up the ghost with less than ten remaining to finish 34th. Number five will have to wait another season. Dale Earnhardt Jr cracked the Top 15, but he needed a Top Five. Now he is more than 40 in arrears, and that pretty much leaves him in the dust.

    Five sit within 11 to 20 points back, still with a chance for greatness if those who have been great go bad, and do it soon. Brad Keselowski finished third in Kansas, just behind Kasey Kahne, and sits fourth in the hunt. Not great, but damn close. Matt Kenseth is a dozen away, and being fourth at Kansas keeps him relevant. The Busch boys and Tony Stewart all had Top Fifteens, not great, but some very good, even great, performances earlier leaves them between 16 and 20 off the pace. Good enough for the moment, but Charlotte and Talladega better be great.

    ESPN…well not great but good for the most part. Rusty and Brad, God love them, are kind of like letting a deadbeat relative be part of your entourage. If the broadcast team were the Corleone family, Rusty and Brad would be a pair of Fredos. When someone makes the mistake of turning on their mics during a race, Nicole Briscoe brings up some pertinent fact and these boys concept of providing additional color is to simply provide a long-winded version of “you betcha.” If your grandma can replace an announcer, I’m guessing there isn’t much point of having him…or them…there.

    There, this Saturday night, is Charlotte, North Carolina. If Kevin Harvick can repeat his performance there from last May, that would be great. If Kurt Busch can do what he did there the previous spring, that would be great. If Jimmie Johnson can do there was he has done five times in his career, that would be great for him, but the rest better be either great or really, really good. If not, then Denny, Ryan, Jeff, and Junior are going to have some company out on exile island. Enjoy the week.

  • Hot 20 over the past 10 – Imagine the embarrassment if Keselowski had not made the Chase

    Hot 20 over the past 10 – Imagine the embarrassment if Keselowski had not made the Chase

    Imagine a Chase with only ten drivers, and one of them not being Brad Keselowski. Now imagine how stupid NASCAR would have looked, instead of being the geniuses they are. Okay, settle down there, big fella. Yet, when you are three races into the Chase and the best guy out there just happens to be the guy who slipped into the hunt due to wins rather for being 11th in points, you have to like how this new format has turned out.

    [media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignright” width=”235″][/media-credit]Check out his recent stats. Over the past ten, he has won twice and has eight Top Tens. Dover’s 20th place result only proved he was mortal. The fact he won at Kansas in the spring might make one ponder putting the boy back on top of Mount Olympus if he can repeat that feat this weekend.

    On the other side of the coin, can anyone remember why Denny Hamlin got a Chase invite? A win and just enough points was enough, but thus far he has been tanking more than George Patton. 18th has been his best Chase result, and over the course of the past ten events there are more than 25 others who have been hotter, not including my freezer.

    As they motor to Kansas, here is a look at our hottest twenty drivers (and Hamlin) over the past ten events…

    Pos – Driver – Points/10 events – (W-T5-T10)

    1. Brad Keselowski – 393 pts – (2-6-8)
    I guess it was a good thing he made the Chase, eh?

    2. Jeff Gordon – 379 pts – (1-5-7)
    Number 5 is alive!

    3. Kyle Busch – 353 pts – (1-3-6)
    104 NASCAR wins in three series, but something is missing from the trophy case.

    4. Jimmie Johnson – 348 pts – (0-5-7)
    Has had to build a new trophy case.

    5. Carl Edwards – 345 pts – (0-4-7)
    There is no place like home, there is no place like home…

    6. Kevin Harvick – 340 pts – (1-2-5)
    Driving is good, owning not so much

    7. Matt Kenseth – 332 pts – (0-2-6)
    I wonder if Katie reminds him to drive safely?

    8. Tony Stewart – 331 pts – (2-3-6)
    Make Chase (check), win a couple (check), hire Zippi (still working on it).

    9. Ryan Newman – 314 pts – (0-2-5)
    30 points per race not good enough to win, but it gets you a free Las Vegas dinner.

    10. Kurt Busch – 297 pts – (1-4-5)
    Has already been to ‘Vegas, thanks.

    11. A.J. Allmendinger – 294 pts – (0-0-2)
    Might prove to be the best buy of 2012.

    12. Dale Earnhardt Jr – 292 pts – (0-1-2)
    No football, no baseball player is more marketable. Now just imagine if he could win.

    13. Martin Truex Jr – 276 pts – (0-2-2)
    Heading to Africa after the season, where something is going to get shot.

    14. Mark Martin – 275 pts – (0-1-4)
    When he first went hunting, he had to use a spear and hunted mastodons.

    15. Clint Bowyer – 269 pts – (0-0-3)
    I think Mikey likes him.

    16. Regan Smith – 268 pts – (0-1-2)
    The logo says UPS, the result says snail mail.

    17. Jeff Burton – 267 pts – (0-0-1)
    2012 could be his year if he eats his Wheaties.

    18. Jamie McMurray – 266 pts – (0-2-2)
    Breakfast cereal might help start your day, but a Big Mac makes your tummy happy.

    19. Greg Biffle – 266 pts – (0-1-3)
    Happiness is being in the Chase. The Biff can’t be happy.

    20. Brian Vickers – 257 pts – (0-1-1)
    With Walmart hosting Kansas meet and greet, maybe Vickers should bring along his resume.

    27. Denny Hamlin – 228 pts – (0-0-3)
    Consistency might be good, but consistently good is even better.

  • The Final Word – Dover is over, but can some shake off their troubles in time for Kansas?

    The Final Word – Dover is over, but can some shake off their troubles in time for Kansas?

    Tony Stewart. Bam! Ryan Newman. Pow! Brad Keselowski. Biff! Denny Hamlin. Ouch! Dale Earnhardt Jr. Sock, Ooof! No doubt these boys are thanking the Lord Dover is over, but at least two or three have to be wondering if their title hopes might also be done like dinner.

    [media-credit id=26 align=”alignright” width=”242″][/media-credit]Stewart and Newman had cars that were so ill handling that they turned out just as fine as David Stremme’s vibrating piece of machinery. Newman can complain to the boss about having to drive crap, but who does Tony go to? Maybe the mirror. In short, the pair were back there fighting it out a couple laps down with Dale Earnhardt Jr.

    Junior, Junior, Junior. Just when you think he has started to get it back together, a part breaks early and then somebody allows him to leave the pits with a loose wheel. Thanks for nothing, chums. It was a good thing AAA was sponsoring this thing.

    Keselowski found himself driving without assistance when the power steering belt got knocked askew. The time it took to fix the problem ended his hopes for last Sunday. So, while Tony is now 9 back, Brad is 14 away, Earnhardt has faded to 34 and Newman to 41 off the pace, things could be worse.

    That brings us to Hamlin. The good news is that he has been consistent. The bad news is that 18th at Dover was the best of the lot thus far in the Chase. Hamlin does have a better chance of taking it all than, say, my grandmother, but Viola Schulz was 93 when she passed away three years ago.

    No, Dover would go to the King of Bitching, Kurt Busch, who for once had nothing but laudable things to say about his crew chief, crewmen, and that attractive blonde who gave him a hug in Victory Lane. Okay, I have good things to say about her, but that does not take away from the spirit of what I’m trying to say here. Jimmie Johnson ran second, Carl Edwards third, and tenth was good enough for Kevin Harvick.

    Happy and Cousin Carl are tied on top of the heap, with Kurt and Tony nine back, and Jimmie just 14 in arrears. In fact, just 19 points separates the ninth place Jeff Gordon from the duo in first, so for most it still is a tight race.

    Kansas should bring interesting news, including some regarding Clint Bowyer, who is expected to be named as Michael Waltrip’s latest employee. Of the eleven races held at this speedway, only four were won by those not currently in the Chase, two of those by Greg Biffle. Keselowski won there in June, Stewart and Gordon each have a pair, while Newman and Johnson also know where Victory Lane is. Victory would come in handy for someone’s Chase hopes, and for three it could mean the difference between Chasing and just plain racing. Enjoy the week!

  • The Final Word from Deadwood…er… New Hampshire

    The Final Word from Deadwood…er… New Hampshire

    In watching NASCAR we tend to learn stuff. For example, after being winless the entire season Tony Stewart taught us that one can open the Chase with two straight victories after he claimed the prize again at Loudon, New Hampshire.

    [media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignright” width=”247″][/media-credit]It helps when one is surrounded by those who can contribute to making such good things happen. Tony recently jettisoned some deadwood to help things along, though he did not go into detail when pressed by the press.

    Stewart leads Kevin Harvick by seven points, 11 up on Sunday’s runner-up Brad Keselowski, and fourteen ahead of Carl Edwards. Everyone else is more than 20 points away, including Jimmie Johnson, who is 29 off the pace.

    By the way, Deadwood is a city in South Dakota best known for being the resting place of Wild Bill Hickok and Calamity Jane. No Cup drivers hail from Deadwood.

    A good day can go terribly bad, as both Hickok and Dale Earnhardt Jr can attest. Tire problems killed what had been a good day for Junior. He is 26 points behind Stewart, tied with Matt Kenseth and Kyle Busch. They are three back of Jeff Gordon, and one ahead of Johnson.

    Still there are a lot of miles yet to travel before this is done. It is also darn near a thousand miles between Columbus, Indiana, the hometown of Tony Stewart, and Deadwood. Deadwood is usually cooler, but not this week.

    Denny Hamlin is not hot. In fact, even if Hamlin dominates and wins this weekend at Dover while the other Chasers stayed home, he would remain at least 18 points out of top spot.

    A top modified driver is Jessica Zemken, a 25-year old blonde out of New York state who has stated that her favorite track is Eldora Raceway in Ohio. It is the track owned by Tony Stewart. To the best of my knowledge, she has never raced in Deadwood.

    This spring, Matt Kenseth won at Dover. Kyle Busch won the year before, while Johnson has won three of the past five events run there. In fact, he has claimed six on the Monster Mile since 2002. Tony Stewart last won up in Delaware when he swept the two races in 2000.

    There are people who look hot, and there are those who say things when they are hot. It was hot when we visited Deadwood in 2009, and even hotter when we were at the Custer Battlefield in Montana. As my boys did not have a real appreciation for either locale, no doubt due to having not watched Little Big Man, I’m glad Vince Welch did not stick a microphone in their faces to ask them what they thought. They might have said something inappropriate.

    Deadwood is 50 miles from Mount Rushmore, but the sculpture on the minds of Cup drivers this week is the one handed out at the Monster Mile in Dover. If there was a track on which Johnson might rebound to challenge for his sixth straight title, it would be there. Failing that, the crown could be bound for one who has worn it twice before. I wonder what he would have to say about that. Enjoy the week!

  • Hot 20 over the past 10 – Chasers lead the pack, unless you happen to be Danny Hamlin

    Hot 20 over the past 10 – Chasers lead the pack, unless you happen to be Danny Hamlin

    A funny thing happened en route to Homestead, at least is might be somewhat amusing if you are not Denny Hamlin. The car didn’t have a ton of speed starting out in Chicago, but Hamlin seemed sure it would run well on Sunday. Too bad the race was pushed back to Monday. It started to vibrate, they got new tires, but when he made contact with Greg Biffle to cut one down that pretty much sealed the deal. At least he has been hotter as of late than, say, Biffle and Jeff Burton, but I doubt that would make Hamlin feel any better.

    Brad Keselowski is just a hair behind Jeff Gordon over the past ten events, greatly assisted by a couple of wins. Gordon, Ryan Newman, and now Tony Stewart each have victories of their own, and while Jimmie Johnson has not, six Top Fives and a couple Top Tens should keep him from complaining too much.

    Meanwhile, Clint Bowyer is out there looking for a new job as it appears he will be leaving RCR. Too bad he has also left our Top Twenty, as he has slid two points behind David Ragan and Kasey Kahne. If it is any consolation, he is running better than both Juan Pablo Montoya and Jamie McMurray, but it probably is not.

    With nine to go on the season, here is a look at our hot twenty drivers over the past ten races.

    1. Jeff Gordon – 373 pts
    No gas, yet still caught for speeding?

    2. Brad Keselowski – 372 pts
    Rusty may have won 37 races in 15 years driving this car, but that still doesn’t forgive ESPN.

    3. Ryan Newman – 361 pts
    Looking for a broom so he can sweep Loudon this weekend.

    4. Jimmie Johnson – 358 pts
    If he wins it again, maybe he could sell all that “5-Time” merchandise to Jeff.

    5. Tony Stewart – 341 pts
    Doesn’t deserve a place in the Chase my ass.

    6. Carl Edwards – 338 pts
    It might be Carl’s year, but has anyone told these other guys yet?

    7. Kyle Busch – 337 pts
    I hear he is the most talked about driver in NASCAR, but does that include profane references?

    8. Kevin Harvick – 323 pts
    UPS let Jarrett drive the big brown truck, but Bud won’t let Happy anywhere near the beer wagon.

    9. Matt Kenseth – 316 pts
    He didn’t push me, he was slow drafting.

    10. Kurt Busch – 298 pts
    Claims to be in Jimmie’s head, but Johnson is definitely a pain in Kurt’s..well, you know.

    11. Martin Truex Jr – 295 pts
    Wondering when he finally gets to do a NAPA commercial with Junior.

    12. Dale Earnhardt Jr – 288 pts
    Won 14 races with Michael Waltrip as a team-mate, two since. I’m just saying…

    13. A.J. Allmendinger – 281 pts
    Won five Champ car races in 2006, but then…

    14. Mark Martin – 274 pts
    Go Granddaddy.com. Like Mark, the line is an oldie but a goodie.

    15. Marcos Ambrose – 263 pts
    He just smiled and gave me a vegemite sandwich.

    16. Denny Hamlin – 262 pts
    Went from underdog to road kill in just one race.

    17. Joey Logano – 260 pts
    Instead of Home Depot, shouldn’t he be sponsored by Toys-R-Us?

    18. Greg Biffle – 258 pts
    Does his air filter come from 3-M by any chance?

    19. Jeff Burton – 255 pts
    Things could be worse, but that would mean he was back in 1995.

    20. David Ragan – 253 pts
    Instead of the big brown truck, Ragan is stuck driving a big brown something else.

    21. Kasey Kahne – 253 pts
    It’s just another manic Monday, I wish it was Sunday.

  • The Final Word – Chicago’s Chitty – Chitty – Bang – Bang finish

    The Final Word – Chicago’s Chitty – Chitty – Bang – Bang finish

    Do you know what a good crew chief is? He is the guy who tells his driver/boss that they are good to go in the fuel department, and is right. That does not necessarily mean that those who are wrong are bad, but maybe Jeff Gordon, Kyle Busch, and Matt Kenseth can enlighten us on the subject after what went down in Chicago on Monday.

    [media-credit name=”Dan Sanger” align=”alignright” width=”273″][/media-credit]It might have been for just the first time this season, but for Tony Stewart Monday marked his 40th career Cup victory. The win moved him to within seven points of Chicago runner-up Kevin Harvick atop the rejigged standings, standings that actually matter as we are down to the final nine races of the season. Still, it is a bit early to get overly excited just yet with eleven drivers still within 25 points of the top dog.

    That guy 25 points back would be Jeff Gordon. They worked on his car, got it just right at the end, but then a funny thing happened to the engine. It started to sputter due to lack of fuel, yet he still managed to speed coming into the pits. I wish my car would run out of gas and still allow me to speed to the gas station. Gordon might have been better off just to let it die out there, as he lost a lap due to the infraction to wind up, ironically enough, 24th.

    Matt Kenseth finished 8th, but while getting a push from your friends is alright most of the time when you find yourself sitting in a fancy go-cart, it can’t be done on the last lap. So, take that 8th place finish and shove it to the head of those a lap down, and you wind up in 21st. At least he sits a big point ahead of Gordon in the Chase.

    That might not sound like a big deal to you, but Denny Hamlin would swap places with Kenseth in a second. Hamlin sits 16 points behind Mr. Gordon, 41 points off the pace after one event. I had heard that he went into the Chase liking his underdog role. He must love it today, as tire woes left him 31st on Monday, leaving him more like a ran over dog. Rain might have delayed the action a day in Chicago, but Hamlin had his own personal storm on Monday to put a beat down on his championship hopes.

    Dale Earnhardt Jr wound up third, with Carl Edwards, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Ryan Newman, and Jimmie Johnson all with Top Tens. They sit between ten and 16 points back as they motor on to New Hampshire. Newman won there this summer to become one of four Chase drivers who have won three times at the track, with eight of those drivers having won at least once there. In fact, only Edwards, Earnhardt, Kenseth, and Keselowski have not. Now might be  a good time to change that. Enjoy the week!

  • The Final Word – Can Chicago be any wilder than the battle of Richmond?

    The Final Word – Can Chicago be any wilder than the battle of Richmond?

    So, you think that with the way things turned out at Richmond we had a race that was a total waste of time? Oh no, my friend. I mean, with Kevin Harvick managing to keep Carl Edwards behind him as they came to the line, Happy got his fourth win of the season. He is now tied with Kyle Busch atop the Chase standings with 2012 big points. See, it meant something.

    [media-credit name=”Barry Albert” align=”alignright” width=”225″][/media-credit]It allowed Jimmie Johnson to retaliate for the accidental bump he got from Kurt Busch to get into the little fella’s head. Kurt went ape on a reporter after he simply asked if this feud could hurt both their chances, then denied to another about saying something he had said earlier, then tearing up the transcript that proved the former champ was wrong in his assumption. Yet, Busch claims that it is he, King Kurt, who has somehow gotten into Johnson’s head. Something tells me the boy could be wrong about that, too.

    If not for Saturday night’s broadcast, look at all the bent metal we would have missed. We would have not seen why Brian Vickers got so upset with Marcos Ambrose, and why NASCAR sat Vickers down for a time out in the middle of the race. We would have been left wondering how Junior can be involved in three incidents, get down a couple of laps, be riding around 29th at one point, and still finish 16th.

    It was a good thing Earnhardt was out there, beating and banging. I mean, if not for that, his boys would have had to take a sledgehammer to that auto of his in order to create the same work of modern art. Junior was minding his own business when he ran into a sideways Clint Bowyer. Of course, this was immediately after he had ran into a braking Matt Kenseth. A little later, he noticed that Ambrose was not being bothered by Vickers, so he bothered him. He later got a bump from Travis Kvapil, and not long after he returned the favor by putting that fella right into the fence. Nothing but good times.

    So, Junior fell to tenth in the pre-Chase standings, but he and the rest who had a position a week ago have one as they head to Chicago. Only a dozen drivers really hold our interest as we head towards autumn, though there are others who will be looking to either find a job, or keep the one they got. Harvick and Shrub may lead the parade heading to the Windy City, but a finish outside the Top Twenty on Sunday would change that in a hurry.

    Chicago, a track where they have raced ten times, where Harvick won the first two, Stewart also has a pair, with Ryan Newman, Jeff Gordon, Junior, and Kyle Busch each with one win to their credit. It is where Carl Edwards was the 2010 runner-up, but nobody who has won there also went on to claim the Cup championship that season. Mark Martin won in 2009, but finished second behind some guy named Johnson in points. So, am I saying Chicago will prove to be just a big waste of time? Something tells me that won’t be the case. Enjoy the week.

  • Hot 20 over the past 10 – Gordon is blazing, but Keselowski is bringing his own kind of heat

    Hot 20 over the past 10 – Gordon is blazing, but Keselowski is bringing his own kind of heat

    Jimmie Johnson has five straight titles, and he is again poised to add yet another finger bauble, but one man standing in his way operates out of the company’s other shop. It has been a decade since the recently turned 40-year old Jeff Gordon claimed his fourth crown, but there is nothing old about his act as of late.

    [media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignright” width=”225″][/media-credit]In his last ten events, Gordon was 17th at the Glen, 11th in Loudon, with the rest all Top Tens, including his 85th career victory last Tuesday on the asphalt of Atlanta. He has averaged more than 39 points per race over the span, claiming more than 80% of those available to him. Under the current system, where last place gives you just 2% and even tenth is under 70%, his results lately have been stellar. Gordon appears up for the challenge.

    However, watch for the young man from Michigan. 27-year old Brad Keselowski has been outstanding, especially in his last six starts. Two wins, a second, a third, a sixth at Atlanta, and 9th at the Brickyard. He moves into the Chase with three wins and a chance to even earn a Top Ten berth in the standings with another great effort at Richmond.

    Quite frankly, it appears that ten of the 12 currently holding down a place in the Chase are set and ready for the fun to begin. For Dale Earnhardt Jr and Denny Hamlin, they need to throw another log or two on the fire, as the embers appear to be cooling off.

    Here is a look at the hottest 20 drivers over the past ten events…

    POS (LW) DRIVER – PTS/10 – (W-T5-T10)

    1 (1) JEFF GORDON – 392 pts (1-4-8)
    Petty, Pearson, & Gordon. Junior partner joins the firm.

    2 (6) JIMMIE JOHNSON – 370 pts (0-6-8)
    Visits the White House so much, it is now called the Johnson Bedroom.

    3 (5) BRAD KESELOWSKI – 364 pts (2-4-8)
    A bit of the spotlight has found this darkhorse.

    4 (2) KYLE BUSCH – 349 pts (2-5-6)
    Tuesday will be a crash fest? Well, maybe he meant next Tuesday.

    5 (3) MATT KENSETH – 343 pts (0-2-6)
    Has been called silent but deadly. That stinks.

    6 (4) RYAN NEWMAN – 330 pts (1-4-5)
    If he ever ran neck and neck, he probably would lose.

    7 (9) KEVIN HARVICK – 307 pts (0-0-4)
    Don’t send him a last minute invite. Just ask a certain Mr. B. Obama.

    8 (8) CARL EDWARDS – 303 pts (0-3-5)
    Wanted to go, but had a date with a duck.

    9 (7) JOEY LOGANO – 303 pts (0-3-4)
    A hundred races and the best is yet to come.

    10 (13) MARTIN TRUEX JR – 300 pts (0-2-4)
    Nothing that a win and a raid on Hamlin’s hauler wouldn’t cure.

    11 (12) KURT BUSCH – 298 pts (1–3-5)
    After three straight duds, Atlanta was welcome.

    12 (10) TONY STEWART – 297 pts (0-1-4)
    His schedule opens up after November 20, if the President wants to reschedule.

    13 (11) A.J. ALLMENDINGER – 296 pts (0-0-2)
    Victory, and by at least 11 points over Hamlin, would do the trick.

    14 (15) MARCOS AMBROSE – 281 pts (1-2-4)
    Richmond To-Do list includes winning and moving into the Top 20.

    15 (14) KASEY KAHNE – 280 pts (0-1-3)
    Red Bull? More like bulls***

    16 (23) JEFF BURTON – 258 pts (0-0-1)
    Jeff, where the hell have you been?

    17 (20) GREG BIFFLE – 256 pts (0-0-2)
    If only 3-M retreat had been at Camp David.

    18 (16) PAUL MENARD – 255 pts (1-1-3)
    Win at Richmond, he’s in the Chase. Don’t, and he won’t.

    19 (18) DENNY HAMLIN – 254 pts (0-1-3)
    A good day back in June looms big for the Pied Piper.

    20 (21) JAMIE MCMURRAY – 253 pts (0-2-2)
    In the Top 15 thrice in past ten just not good enough.

    21 (24) DALE EARNHARDT JR – 248 pts (0-0-1)
    In recent weeks he is about as much a threat to claim the title as I am.

    22 (19) DAVID RAGAN – 242 pts (1-1-2)
    Soon Big Brown will be just a skid mark.

    23 (17) CLINT BOWYER – 242 pts (0-1-2)
    Dear Juan: You are a jackass. Your pal, Clint.

  • The Final Word – After Atlanta, nine are in, three are holding on, seven others still with a shot at the Chase

    The Final Word – After Atlanta, nine are in, three are holding on, seven others still with a shot at the Chase

    For a long weekend also long on rain, things have cleared up enough to provide a clearer picture as to the Chase for the Championship. After the action concluded on Tuesday afternoon in Atlanta, nine are locked in, three are holding on, yet there are up to seven others who could yet move out of the wilderness and into a wildcard position with a win and a little help.

    [media-credit name=”Getty Images” align=”alignright” width=”225″][/media-credit]Jeff Gordon helped himself to another 3 Chase bonus points and he and Jimmie Johnson put on a show at the end Tuesday. Gordon held his team-mate off for the 85th win of his career and now sits third alone on the all-time list. Also locked in and in line for a run at the season crown are Carl Edwards, Kevin Harvick, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, and both Busch brothers. With his three wins this season, you can add Brad Keselowski to that list with a guaranteed wildcard. That is, if he needs it.

    Dale Earnhardt Jr and Tony Stewart are win less, yet hold down the final two spots in the Chase, while Denny Hamlin has a win and, sitting 12th, has the other wildcard invite in his hand. Keselowski is the guy who can stir things up by doing well at Richmond, making up the 23 points he needs to catch Stewart, or the 25 he is behind Junior, and claiming 9th or 10th in the standings. It would give the young man the bonus points for his pre-Chase wins, and make one of the winless veterans vulnerable.

    In fact, without a win one really has no chance of making the Chase if outside the security of the Top 10. Denny Hamlin has a win but if Paul Menard wins his second of the season at Richmond he would take that wildcard spot away. If Marcos Ambrose or David Ragan wins a second race, and make up the ten positions on Menard to move into the Top 20, they also could take the spot away from Hamlin. However, if either Earnhardt or Stewart is out and Keselowski in by points, then Hamlin would retain his wildcard invite with the other going to whoever else has a win and sits in the Top 20. At the moment, that would be Menard, but Ambrose and Ragan still have a shot.

    If that is not enough, Hamlin can also be caught on points. If A.J. Allmendinger (11 points behind Hamlin), Bowyer (12), Greg Biffle (28), or Martin Truex Jr (33) can win at Richmond on Sunday and move ahead of Hamlin in points, they would be in and he would be out. That is, as long as Keselowski doesn’t replace either Earnhardt or Stewart in the Top 10, in which case Hamlin would still make it.

    Of course, if Keselowski fails to make up the 23 to 25 points needed to catch Earnhardt or Stewart, and if Richmond is not won by Menard, Ambrose, Ragan, Allmendinger, Bowyer, Biffle, or Truex, then the top dozen have already been decided. I told you we had a clearer picture of things. Enjoy your week.

  • The hot 20 over the past 10 – If Tony is upset with his performance, imagine what he thinks of Junior’s

    Tony Stewart feels his team is running so bad that if they make the Chase they will just be taking a spot away from someone more deserving. That might be how he really feels, but if he isn’t deserving, then what can you say about Dale Earnhardt Jr?

    [media-credit id=41 align=”alignright” width=”300″][/media-credit]Hey, Junior’s my guy, but we have to face facts here. He might be 9th in the standings, but over the past ten events the #88 crew has not exactly been charging up the ladder. If you want to feel sorry for a guy, how about Joey Logano. He has the 7th best record in recent weeks, but those first five races of the year, when he could not even bust a Top Twenty, keeps him from contending now.

    I love my mother, but I’m pretty sure I won’t ever see her on Dancing With the Stars. I’m sure my eyes will never glimpse her bungee jumping, walking a tightrope, or winning a Sprint Cup title this fall. I don’t see that last one coming to fruition for Junior either. Over the last ten events, driving to make the Chase, with everything on the line, he is 24th. That does not exactly instill one with the confidence to slap down a wager.

    Junior missed the Top Twenty at Daytona in February, but it wasn’t until June when he suffered that same fate again. At the time, he was third in the standings, but slipped after his 41st place the next outing at Sonoma. Before Michigan he had eight Top Tens; since he has just one. In those past ten events Junior’s average finish has been 19th. If Tony Stewart is not good enough to be in the Chase, then I would expect Dale Earnhardt Jr to slide out of contention for the crown quickly, and quietly.

    Here is a look at our hot 20 over the past ten, along with where they are currently ranked in the official standings…

    1 (5) Jeff Gordon – 371 pts (0-3-7)
    Jimmie has five, Jeff wants five.

    2 (1) Kyle Busch – 369 pts (2-6-7)
    Thirteen Top Fives. 13!!

    3 (3) Matt Kenseth – 350 pts (0-3-6)
    Might not be Mr. Excitement, but still on track to become Mr. Two-time.

    4 (7) Ryan Newman – 345 pts (1-4-6)
    Oh boo-hoo, it has to be tough to be with Stewart-Haas.

    5 (11) Brad Keselowski – 344 pts (2-4-7)
    Wins will get him in, but this boy has a few points to make.

    6 (2) Jimmie Johnson – 344 pts (0-5-7)
    Two more races to tinker, then it is back to business

    7 (18) Joey Logano – 309 pts (0-3-4)
    Maybe too late for this year, but good signs for the season ahead.

    8 (4) Carl Edwards – 303 pts (0-3-5)
    Is this the year?

    9 (6) Kevin Harvick – 301 pts (0-0-3)
    Like Jimmie, like Carl, the real deal will be at Chicago and beyond.

    10 (10) Tony Stewart – 293 pts (0-1-4)
    If this is bad, imagine what good would be like.

    11 (14) A.J. Allmendinger – 293 pts (0-0-1)
    Out of a Chase place since the Bristol disaster last March.

    12 (8) Kurt Busch – 292 pts (1-2-4)
    It was not good, but at least Bristol was better than Pocono and the Glen.

    13 (17) Martin Truex Jr – 287 pts (0-2-4)
    A pair of Top Fives in last three beats memories of Martinsville, Texas, Daytona…

    14 (15) Kasey Kahne – 285 pts (0-1-3)
    Easy to move to where the grass is greener when they sell the farm.

    15 (22) Marcos Ambrose – 279 pts (1-2-4)
    Can a win at Atlanta mean a million bucks AND a place in the Chase?

    16 (20) Paul Menard – 270 pts (1-2-4)
    Things were looking up until they went down the hole the past three weeks.

    17 (12) Clint Bowyer – 269 pts (0-1-3)
    Seeking a new deal, but what he really needs are two great starts.

    18 (13) Denny Hamlin – 264 pts (1-2-3)
    Needs a win.

    19 (21) David Ragan – 257 pts (1-1-2)
    See above.

    20 (16) Greg Biffle – 255 pts (0-0-2)
    You run 20th or worse ten times, including the past three, and you get this.

    22 (19) Mark Martin – 250 pts (0-1-3)
    Of course, in Hollywood, a writer has Mark winning the next two.

    24 (9) Dale Earnhardt Jr – 246 pts (0-0-1)
    Got a new contract, but we want the old Junior back (circa 2008)

    25 (25) Regan Smith – 241 pts (0-0-1)
    Winning is now the only thing, and he might need two.